Open World Polymarket

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Top outcomes

Steve Witkoff 27%
Jared Kushner 26%
J.D. Vance 13%
Marco Rubio 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$1.3M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

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$1.3m Vol.

All outcomes

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$1.3M Vol.

Steve Witkoff

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Jared Kushner

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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J.D. Vance

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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