Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
No
3%
Yes
97%
$394K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
17%
Yes
No
Israel
16%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$388K Vol.
Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
72%
Yes
No
December
10%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$387K Vol.
Polymarket
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho Azevedo
82%
Yes
No
Alexandre Kalil
4%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$376K Vol.
Polymarket
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
Yes
No
María Corina Machado
4%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$375K Vol.
Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$374K Vol.
Polymarket
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$372K Vol.
Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%
42%
Yes
No
Lula da Silva <5%
38%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$365K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
32%
Yes
No
Steve Witkoff
32%
Yes
No
+18 more outcomes
$356K Vol.
Polymarket
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Yes
No
Nathalie Arthaud
88%
Yes
No
+44 more outcomes
$350K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$349K Vol.
Polymarket
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
September 30
8%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$337K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
82%
Yes
No
September 30
21%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$333K Vol.
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$322K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
57%
Yes
43%
$316K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$310K Vol.
Polymarket
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
325–339
34%
Yes
No
340–354
24%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$305K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$302K Vol.
Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de Freitas
98%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
2%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$293K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
September 30
7%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$292K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
No
34%
Yes
66%
$287K Vol.
Polymarket
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$286K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$286K Vol.
Polymarket
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$279K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 145–168