Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Xi Jinping 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

Forecasts closed
No Prison Time 80% Yes No
20-30 years 5% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets May 30 - June 1, 2026?

240+ 0% Yes No
40-64 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief 24% Yes No
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 21% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 100% Yes No
Doug Turner 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

No 2%
Yes 98%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?

June 30 2% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$997K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$996K Vol.
Polymarket World

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Forecasts closed
Fujimori 0–4% 95% Yes No
Sánchez 0–4% 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$982K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 30 9% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$954K Vol.
Polymarket World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$952K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$923K Vol.
Polymarket

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

Woo Sang-ho 100% Yes No
Kim Do-kyun 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$893K Vol.
Polymarket

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$886K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$886K Vol.
Polymarket World

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Forecasts closed
Xavier Becerra 99% Yes No
Steve Hilton 0% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$862K Vol.
Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Nithya Raman 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$861K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$858K Vol.
Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Forecasts closed
Karen Bass 100% Yes No
Nithya Raman 0% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$811K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$807K Vol.
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Petro - Colombia President 61% Yes No
Starmer - UK PM 20% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$785K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Barack Obama 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$770K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$767K Vol.
Polymarket World