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Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Top outcomes

March 31, 2027 50%
June 30, 2027 50%
December 31, 2026 5%
June 30, 2026 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$536K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2027

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$536.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$536K Vol.

March 31, 2027

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on March 31, 2027 Explain your No on March 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2027

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2027 Explain your No on June 30, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2026

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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