Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$279K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Hesai 18% Yes No
Alibaba 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$274K Vol.
Polymarket

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$273K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 64% Yes No
Christine Fréchette 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$268K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$266K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$263K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30 76% Yes No
September 15 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$260K Vol.
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Netanyahu - Israel PM 40% Yes No
None before 2027 38% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$245K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar 52% Yes No
Likud 48% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$243K Vol.
Polymarket

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$241K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 13%
Yes 87%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

October 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R) 64% Yes No
Josh Turek (D) 37% Yes No
$226K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

December 31 44% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$217K Vol.
Polymarket

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$217K Vol.
Polymarket

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

AS 75% Yes No
SV 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$213K Vol.
Polymarket

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled 93% Yes No
Marine Tondelier 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$212K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 74% Yes No
PSD 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$210K Vol.
Polymarket