Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Weed rescheduled by...?
Forecasts closed
December 31
27%
Yes
No
June 30
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$764K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
1%
Yes
No
$761K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$717K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
28%
Yes
No
New Zealand
22%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$717K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
Joe Biden
100%
Yes
No
Barack Obama
100%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$714K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Forecasts closed
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
75%
Yes
No
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
18%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$711K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$702K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Egypt
36%
Yes
No
Somaliland
34%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$698K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
June 30
4%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$696K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$684K Vol.
Polymarket
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$683K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$681K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
5%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$670K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
Forecasts closed
June 30
6%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$639K Vol.
Polymarket
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
68%
Yes
No
Haley Stevens
22%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$637K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
Forecasts closed
June 30
5%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$627K Vol.
Polymarket
World
South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Forecasts closed
Pamela Evette
76%
Yes
No
Alan Wilson
25%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$608K Vol.
Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
28%
Yes
72%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$593K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
No
0%
Yes
100%
$564K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$508K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$503K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Prime Minister of Malta
Sandra Gauci
0%
Yes
No
Paul Salomone
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$499K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 169–192 of 312