Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Weed rescheduled by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 27% Yes No
June 30 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$764K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
$761K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$717K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 28% Yes No
New Zealand 22% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$717K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Barack Obama 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$714K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Forecasts closed
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 75% Yes No
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 18% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$711K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$702K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Egypt 36% Yes No
Somaliland 34% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$698K Vol.
Polymarket World

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$696K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$684K Vol.
Polymarket

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$683K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$681K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
September 30, 2026 5% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$670K Vol.
Polymarket World

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Forecasts closed
June 30 6% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$639K Vol.
Polymarket

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 68% Yes No
Haley Stevens 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$637K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 5% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$627K Vol.
Polymarket World

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

Forecasts closed
Pamela Evette 76% Yes No
Alan Wilson 25% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$608K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket World

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 28%
Yes 72%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$593K Vol.
Polymarket World

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$564K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$508K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$503K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Malta

Sandra Gauci 0% Yes No
Paul Salomone 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$499K Vol.
Polymarket