Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 63% Yes No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$446K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 31 25% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$430K Vol.
Polymarket

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 76% Yes No
Brad Bradford 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$426K Vol.
Polymarket

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
November 30 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$423K Vol.
Polymarket

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$419K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 85% Yes No
November 30 82% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$414K Vol.
Polymarket

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 94% Yes No
María Corina Machado 3% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$411K Vol.
Polymarket

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$409K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Vietnam 15% Yes No
Mexico 14% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$402K Vol.
Polymarket

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$399K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$394K Vol.
Polymarket

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen 89% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 43% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$389K Vol.
Polymarket

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D) 90% Yes No
John E. Sununu (R) 10% Yes No
$365K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$362K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$356K Vol.
Polymarket

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 95% Yes No
PSD 3% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$352K Vol.
Polymarket

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D) 94% Yes No
John James (R) 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$341K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

December 31 80% Yes No
November 30 60% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$334K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$326K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$311K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 66% Yes No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 31% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$310K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$310K Vol.
Polymarket

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80% Yes No
David Jolly (D) 20% Yes No
$307K Vol.
Polymarket