Resolved Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Top outcomes

Joe Biden 100%
Barack Obama 100%
Jimmy Kimmel 100%
Candace Owens 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$714K Vol. Closed May 31, 2026
Resolved outcome: Norah O'Donnell

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All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$714K Vol.

Joe Biden

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Barack Obama

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Jimmy Kimmel

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Candace Owens

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Jerome Powell

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Nicolás Maduro

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Norah O'Donnell

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Marjorie Taylor Greene

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Tucker Carlson

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Elon Musk

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Pam Bondi

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Alex Jones

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

J.D. Vance

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Xi Jinping

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Megyn Kelly

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Keir Starmer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Pope Leo XIV

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Melania Trump

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Viktor Orbán

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Freidrich Merz

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Vladimir Putin

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Zohran Mamdani

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Emmanuel Macron

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kaitlan Collins

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Benjamin Netanyahu

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Mohammed bin Salman

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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