Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$286K Vol. Closes May 31, 2026

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$286.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$286K Vol.

Marjorie Taylor Greene

27% market probability

27%
Yes 27% +73 / −27 No 73% +27 / −73

Megyn Kelly

13% market probability

13%
Yes 13% +87 / −13 No 87% +13 / −87

Tucker Carlson

10% market probability

10%
Yes 10% +90 / −10 No 90% +10 / −90

Emmanuel Macron

7% market probability

7%
Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

Kaitlan Collins

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Freidrich Merz

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Zohran Mamdani

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Pope Leo XIV

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Alex Jones

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Vladimir Putin

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Keir Starmer

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

J.D. Vance

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Mohammed bin Salman

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Elon Musk

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Pam Bondi

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Viktor Orbán

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Benjamin Netanyahu

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Melania Trump

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Xi Jinping

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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