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Open World Polymarket

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Top outcomes

Egypt 36%
Somaliland 34%
Pakistan 24%
Jordan 20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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$698K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$698.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$698K Vol.

Egypt

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Somaliland

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Pakistan

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Qatar

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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Lebanon

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Azerbaijan

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Oman

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Kuwait

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Turkey

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Syria

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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