Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R) 57% Yes No
James Talarico (D) 44% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Warren Hamm 0% Yes No
Yuri Fulmer 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$481K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat 65% Yes No
Republican 36% Yes No
$474K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

June 2 100% Yes No
June 3 100% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$472K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$464K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

June 30 60% Yes No
June 22 36% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$457K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?

June 30 10% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$446K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Lebanon 4% Yes No
Bangladesh 2% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$428K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$416K Vol.
Polymarket

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Forecasts closed
Barry Moore 78% Yes No
Jared Hudson 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$400K Vol.
Polymarket

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

$398K Vol.
Polymarket

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 32% Yes No
June 30, 2026 4% Yes No
$393K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Scott Wiener 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$393K Vol.
Polymarket

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$364K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico 29% Yes No
South Korea 26% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$336K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 76% Yes No
Genter Drummond 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$333K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$323K Vol.
Polymarket

Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

$309K Vol.
Polymarket

China x India military clash by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$296K Vol.
Polymarket

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act 55% Yes No
No to ten million Switzerland 20% Yes No
$290K Vol.
Polymarket

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Forecasts closed
Dem-Rep 99% Yes No
Dem-Dem 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$282K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

June 30 38% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No
$282K Vol.
Polymarket

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Iván Cepeda Castro 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$278K Vol.
Polymarket