Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
US imports Russian diesel by...?
November 30
28%
Yes
No
October 31
3%
Yes
No
$299K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$298K Vol.
Polymarket
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$292K Vol.
Polymarket
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$282K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$280K Vol.
Polymarket
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Peggy Flanagan (D)
86%
Yes
No
Michele Tafoya (R)
14%
Yes
No
$279K Vol.
Polymarket
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
24%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
16%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$273K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027
21%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$273K Vol.
Polymarket
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$268K Vol.
Polymarket
New York Governor Election Winner
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Yes
No
Bruce Blakeman (R)
5%
Yes
No
$262K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31
42%
Yes
No
November 30
24%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$262K Vol.
Polymarket
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Rob Sand (D)
88%
Yes
No
Zach Lahn (R)
12%
Yes
No
$260K Vol.
Polymarket
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 31
22%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$258K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$256K Vol.
Polymarket
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
65%
Yes
No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
32%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$250K Vol.
Polymarket
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$247K Vol.
Polymarket
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)
96%
Yes
No
Mike Collins (R)
4%
Yes
No
$243K Vol.
Polymarket
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Phil Scott (R)
76%
Yes
No
Amanda Janoo (D)
25%
Yes
No
$239K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
October 31
7%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$238K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$237K Vol.
Polymarket
Florida Senate Election Winner
Ashley Moody (R)
90%
Yes
No
Angie Nixon (D)
10%
Yes
No
$232K Vol.
Polymarket
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Roy Cooper (D)
96%
Yes
No
Michael Whatley (R)
4%
Yes
No
$232K Vol.
Polymarket
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$232K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 193–216