Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

September 30? 4% Yes No
August 9? 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Toretske by...?

October 31 100% Yes No
September 30 100% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$161K Vol.
Polymarket

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Republican 86% Yes No
Democrat 14% Yes No
$161K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 92% Yes No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$160K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 42% Yes No
Chuck Schumer 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

December 31 66% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-28 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$141K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

CDU 99% Yes No
The Left 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$135K Vol.
Polymarket

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$134K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$133K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$129K Vol.
Polymarket

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 94% Yes No
Mike Collins (R) 6% Yes No
$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 28% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$122K Vol.
Polymarket