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All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Iván Cepeda Castro 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$278K Vol.
Polymarket

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 100% Yes No
Democrats (D) 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Any departure from Tehran (IKA) by...?

June 9 100% Yes No
June 10 100% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie 69% Yes No
Daniel Penny 55% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$268K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$267K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

200-219 18% Yes No
220-239 16% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$264K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Oh Se-hoon <3% 100% Yes No
Chong Won-oh <3% 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$245K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$242K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Emmanuel Macron 98% Yes No
Keir Starmer 96% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$242K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 56% Yes No
June 30 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$230K Vol.
Polymarket

Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner

Kim Sang-wook 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$229K Vol.
Polymarket

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$223K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 6%
Yes 94%
$216K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 71%
Yes 29%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

840-879 8% Yes No
800-839 8% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$213K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Forecasts closed
Hannah Pingree 58% Yes No
Shenna Bellows 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

Forecasts closed
Bass 5–10% 84% Yes No
Bass 0–5% 9% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$191K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

60-65% 100% Yes No
65%+ 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$190K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$187K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic CEO arrested?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$175K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

200+ 100% Yes No
<20 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$171K Vol.
Polymarket