Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?
September 30?
4%
Yes
No
August 9?
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$165K Vol.
Polymarket
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
October 31
100%
Yes
No
September 30
100%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$161K Vol.
Polymarket
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Republican
86%
Yes
No
Democrat
14%
Yes
No
$161K Vol.
Polymarket
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT)
92%
Yes
No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$160K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Senate Majority Leader?
John Thune
42%
Yes
No
Chuck Schumer
38%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
December 31
66%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$151K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
September 30
4%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
CA-28 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
98%
Yes
No
Republican Party
2%
Yes
No
$141K Vol.
Polymarket
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$138K Vol.
Polymarket
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
CDU
99%
Yes
No
The Left
1%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$135K Vol.
Polymarket
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$134K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$133K Vol.
Polymarket
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Other
46%
Yes
No
Democrats 8-10%
28%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$131K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$129K Vol.
Polymarket
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)
94%
Yes
No
Mike Collins (R)
6%
Yes
No
$123K Vol.
Polymarket
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
76%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$123K Vol.
Polymarket
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 2026
28%
Yes
No
August 6, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$122K Vol.
Polymarket
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