Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$168K Vol.
Polymarket

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

June 30, 2026 7% Yes No
January 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$167K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

July 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$157K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$143K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

40-64 52% Yes No
65-89 34% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$135K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$132K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Allah 100% Yes No
Elon Musk 100% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Forecasts closed
de la Espriella Win 99% Yes No
Cepeda Castro 20%+ 1% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$129K Vol.
Polymarket

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Forecasts closed
No 100%
Yes 0%
$127K Vol.
Polymarket

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Forecasts closed
Toby Doeden 52% Yes No
Larry Rhoden 47% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$126K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$125K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

May 1 100% Yes No
May 19 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$122K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Marco Rubio 92% Yes No
Donald Trump 88% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

4 100% Yes No
0 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 55%
Yes 46%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Choo Kyung-ho <10% 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

120-139 100% Yes No
<20 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Lee Won-taek 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$93K Vol.
Polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

200+ 100% Yes No
<20 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$91K Vol.
Polymarket