Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+56 more outcomes

$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello 97% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$115K Vol.
Polymarket

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Chris Pappas 95% Yes No
Karishma Manzur 5% Yes No
$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 98% Yes No
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 65% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+47 more outcomes

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$106K Vol.
Polymarket

Serbia parliament dissolved by…?

December 31 96% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$104K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena 89% Yes No
PAN 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL 57% Yes No
UPB 39% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$102K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31 21% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Other 50% Yes No
Person M 50% Yes No

+57 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 63% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

2 80% Yes No
3 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

No 34%
Yes 66%
$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 54% Yes No
Juliana Brizola 44% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R) 82% Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D) 18% Yes No
$90K Vol.
Polymarket