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Fed rate cut by...? Iran leadership change by...? California Governor Election Winner Los Angeles Mayoral Election What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Texas Senate Election Winner Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Next French Presidential Election MLB: 2026 American League Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Iran full airspace closure by...? Which party will win the House in 2026?

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Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

December 31 5% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 53% Yes No

John Thune 24% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R) 96% Yes No

Todd Achilles (I) 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 31 65% Yes No

Qatar 13% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No

Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro 80% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

October 31 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No

Ilhan Omar 100% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

Polymarket Pop Culture

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

December 31 2% Yes No

September 30 0% Yes No

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

December 31 3% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 30 50% Yes No

October 31 25% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 75% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61% Yes No

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D) 97% Yes No

April Verlato (R) 2% Yes No

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No

August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome