Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Other 50% Yes No
John Healey 6% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$136K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-04 House Election Winner

Scott DesJarlais (R) 99% Yes No
Victoria Broderick (D) 1% Yes No
$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 72% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$132K Vol.
Polymarket

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R) 95% Yes No
Katy Tyndell (D) 6% Yes No
$132K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R) 70% Yes No
Tom Perriello (D) 30% Yes No
$131K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi 20% Yes No
DeepSeek 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate U 50% Yes No

+97 more outcomes

$125K Vol.
Polymarket

John Fetterman out by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$125K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui 66% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Other 50% Yes No
Person M 50% Yes No

+57 more outcomes

$122K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
October 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear 88% Yes No
Ted Cruz 82% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Spain General Election Winner

PP 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$117K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R) 99% Yes No
Danny Minton (D) 1% Yes No
$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia 14% Yes No
Russia 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$116K Vol.
Polymarket

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 96% Yes No
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$115K Vol.
Polymarket