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Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
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$135K Vol.
Closes Mar 31, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$135.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$135K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person A
Explain your No on Person A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person B
Explain your No on Person B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person C
Explain your No on Person C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person D
Explain your No on Person D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person E
Explain your No on Person E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person F
Explain your No on Person F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person G
Explain your No on Person G
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person H
Explain your No on Person H
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person I
Explain your No on Person I
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person J
Explain your No on Person J
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person K
Explain your No on Person K
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person L
Explain your No on Person L
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person M
Explain your No on Person M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person N
Explain your No on Person N
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person O
Explain your No on Person O
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person P
Explain your No on Person P
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Q
Explain your No on Person Q
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person R
Explain your No on Person R
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person S
Explain your No on Person S
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person T
Explain your No on Person T
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person U
Explain your No on Person U
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person V
Explain your No on Person V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person W
Explain your No on Person W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person X
Explain your No on Person X
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Y
Explain your No on Person Y
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Person Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Z
Explain your No on Person Z
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kerry-Lynne Findlay
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Kerry-Lynne Findlay
Explain your No on Kerry-Lynne Findlay
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pam Alexis
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Pam Alexis
Explain your No on Pam Alexis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lakhwinder Jhaj
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Lakhwinder Jhaj
Explain your No on Lakhwinder Jhaj
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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