Open Polymarket

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Top outcomes

No election before 2027 92%
Waddani 5%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2%
Kulmiye 2%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).

$92K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$91.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$92K Vol.

No election before 2027

92% market probability

92%

Explain your Yes on No election before 2027 Explain your No on No election before 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Waddani

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on Waddani Explain your No on Waddani (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Justice and Welfare (UCID) Explain your No on Justice and Welfare (UCID) (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Kulmiye

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Kulmiye Explain your No on Kulmiye (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.