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Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?
Top outcomes
December 31
6%
September 30
3%
July 31
0%
June 30
0%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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$165K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$164.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$165K Vol.
December 31
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
September 30
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on September 30
Explain your No on September 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on July 31
Explain your No on July 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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June 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30
Explain your No on June 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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