Resolved
Polymarket
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Top outcomes
Scott Wiener
100%
Other
0%
Candidate B
0%
Candidate C
0%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Resolved outcome: Scott Wiener
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$392.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$393K Vol.
Scott Wiener
100% market probability
100%
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
No 0%
+100 / −0
Other
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate B
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate C
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate D
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate E
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate F
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate G
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate H
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate I
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate J
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate K
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate L
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate M
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate N
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate O
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Connie Chan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cole Bettles
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Darren Helton
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
David Ganezer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jingchao Xiong
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Saikat Chakrabarti
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.
Public forecast history
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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.
