Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) 99% Yes No
New People (NL) 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 92% Yes No
Turkey 1% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 26% Yes No
48 14% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Macron out by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
July 31, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 60% Yes No
Republican 40% Yes No
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics