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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Top outcomes

No meeting by December 31 72%
China 14%
United States 4%
Russia 3%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$170K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$169.6k Vol.

All outcomes

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$170K Vol.

No meeting by December 31

72% market probability

72%

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0 / 2,000

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China

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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United States

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Russia

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Gulf country

2% market probability

2%

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Turkey

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

1% market probability

1%

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Belarus

1% market probability

1%

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Other EU country

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Switzerland

0% market probability

0%

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South Korea

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Finland

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ukraine

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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