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Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Top outcomes
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
80%
Other
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$121K Vol.
Closes Mar 31, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$121.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$121K Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
80% market probability
80%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 20%
+80 / −20
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person D
Explain your No on Person D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person E
Explain your No on Person E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AA
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AA
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AB
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AB
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AC
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AC
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AD
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AD
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AE
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AE
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AF
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AF
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AG
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AG
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AH
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AH
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AI
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AI
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AJ
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AJ
Explain your No on Person AJ
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AK
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AK
Explain your No on Person AK
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AL
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AL
Explain your No on Person AL
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AM
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AM
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AN
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AN
Explain your No on Person AN
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AO
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AO
Explain your No on Person AO
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AP
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AP
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AQ
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AQ
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person AR
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person AR
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pedro Sánchez
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Pedro Sánchez
Explain your No on Pedro Sánchez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Santiago Abascal
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Santiago Abascal
Explain your No on Santiago Abascal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isabel Díaz Ayuso
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Isabel Díaz Ayuso
Explain your No on Isabel Díaz Ayuso
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Miguel Tellado
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Miguel Tellado
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aitor Esteban
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Aitor Esteban
Explain your No on Aitor Esteban
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Cuerpo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Cuerpo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Óscar Puente
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Óscar Puente
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cuca Gamarra
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cuca Gamarra
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ester Muñoz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ester Muñoz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pepa Millán
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pepa Millán
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Borja Sémper
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Borja Sémper
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yolanda Díaz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ernest Urtasun
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ernest Urtasun
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carles Puigdemont
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-56']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-56']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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María Jesús Montero
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-57']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-57']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on María Jesús Montero
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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