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Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Top outcomes
Don Lemon
14%
Pete Buttigieg
14%
Stephen A. Smith
13%
Gavin Newsom
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$896.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$897K Vol.
Don Lemon
14% market probability
14%
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
No 86%
+14 / −86
Pete Buttigieg
14% market probability
14%
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
No 86%
+14 / −86
Stephen A. Smith
13% market probability
13%
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
No 87%
+13 / −87
Gavin Newsom
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Rahm Emanuel
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Kamala Harris
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Mark Kelly
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Andy Beshear
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Steve Bannon
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Tucker Carlson
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Brian Kemp
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Cory Booker
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Candace Owens
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Matt Gaetz
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
J.B. Pritzker
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Rand Paul
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Mark Cuban
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Ron DeSantis
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
George Clooney
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Raphael Warnock
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Vivek Ramaswamy
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Gretchen Whitmer
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Donald Trump
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Tulsi Gabbard
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Erika Kirk
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
John Thune
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Hunter Biden
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Tim Walz
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Oprah Winfrey
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Donald Trump Jr.
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Glenn Youngkin
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
J.D. Vance
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Elon Musk
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Tom Brady
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Greg Abbott
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Marco Rubio
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Josh Shapiro
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Ivanka Trump
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Kristi Noem
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Nikki Haley
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Gina Raimondo
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Ted Cruz
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Elise Stefanik
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Jon Stewart
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Jared Polis
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Jon Ossoff
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
John Fetterman
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Kim Kardashian
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Hillary Clinton
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Wes Moore
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Zohran Mamdani
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
MrBeast
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Michelle Obama
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Barack Obama
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Bernie Sanders
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Liz Cheney
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
LeBron James
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Josh Hawley
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Roy Cooper
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Beto O’Rourke
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Chelsea Clinton
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Byron Donalds
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mike Pence
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Katie Britt
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Phil Murphy
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Andrew Yang
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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