Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 94% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2nd largest company end of May?

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 31% Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 2026 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 99% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Cut 1% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 99% Yes No
600B+ 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46%
Yes 54%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↓ 3.25% 22% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

2.0T+ 64% Yes No
1.8T–2.0T 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 95% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 3.5% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

$4,200-$4,600 46% Yes No
$3,800-$4,200 38% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$882K Vol.
Polymarket

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

25 bps Increase 100% Yes No
No change 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$872K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd largest company end of May?

Alphabet 0% Yes No
$851K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 24%
Yes 76%
$846K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

$756K Vol.
Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?

↑ $760 100% Yes No
↓ $740 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$736K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Silver (SI) settle at in June?

$60-$70 41% Yes No
$50-$60 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$730K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

$720K Vol.
Polymarket

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Forecasts closed
4.0–5.0% 78% Yes No
5.0–6.0% 21% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$705K Vol.
Polymarket Economy