Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

October 2026 84% Yes No
September 2026 10% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$128K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease 92% Yes No
No Change 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$123K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 64%
Yes 36%
$121K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Bank of Russia decision in September?

No Change 63% Yes No
Decrease 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$119K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+ 80% Yes No
2.8-3.0% 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$112K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$102K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% 46% Yes No
4.50-4.99% 31% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

$1.25T–$1.5T 22% Yes No
$1.5T–$1.75T 19% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$93K Vol.
Polymarket

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?

<$446K 90% Yes No
$446K - $454K 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$87K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

No Change 72% Yes No
Decrease 29% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$87K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

$335K - $340K 34% Yes No
$340K - $345K 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9% 28% Yes No
2.0–2.4% 12% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$84K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 90% Yes No
3.75% to 4.49% 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$84K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

1-2% 77% Yes No
0-1% 11% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$82K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH 69% Yes No
$ANT 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

No Change 100% Yes No
50+ bps increase 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0% 46% Yes No
0.1 – 0.5% 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

300M 100% Yes No
285M 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

US Bank 4% Yes No
KeyBank 4% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 62% Yes No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Economy