Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+ 76% Yes No
$6.00-$6.50 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$105K Vol.
Polymarket

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 72% Yes No
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$105K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change 93% Yes No
Decrease 7% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$103K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 98% Yes No
0.75% to 1.49% 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 66% Yes No
No change 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change 92% Yes No
Decrease 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$96K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0% 83% Yes No
4.7-5.0% 7% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 23% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley 82% Yes No
Goldman Sachs 17% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99% 70% Yes No
3.00% to 3.49% 12% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC 3% Yes No
Citigroup 3% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 67% Yes No
25-29.9% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$82K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6% 77% Yes No
4.6-4.9% 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

3.0% 31% Yes No
3.1% 30% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4% 88% Yes No
3.0-3.4% 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.00 19% Yes No
$3.00-$3.50 19% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 50% Yes No
1.2-1.5% 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease 90% Yes No
No Change 9% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

No change 74% Yes No
25 bps decrease 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.
Polymarket Economy