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Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Top outcomes
Morgan Stanley
38%
Goldman Sachs
35%
Bank of America
4%
JPMorgan
2%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$33K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$32.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$33K Vol.
Morgan Stanley
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Goldman Sachs
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
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Explain your No on Goldman Sachs
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bank of America
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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Explain your No on Bank of America
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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JPMorgan
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barclays
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wells Fargo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Deutsche Bank
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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UBS
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Citigroup
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Citigroup
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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