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Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Top outcomes

Morgan Stanley 82%
Goldman Sachs 16%
Barclays 1%
Citigroup 1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$90K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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$89.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$90K Vol.

Morgan Stanley

82% market probability

82%

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0 / 2,000

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Goldman Sachs

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Barclays

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Citigroup

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Wells Fargo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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JPMorgan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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UBS

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Bank of America

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Deutsche Bank

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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