Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase 56% Yes No
No change 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$74.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 89% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 8% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$50.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor 100% Yes No
iRobot 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$18.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$10.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.0% 36% Yes No
3.75% 25% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 76% Yes No
Apple 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Anthropic 62% Yes No
SpaceX 38% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$5.8M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$4.4M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 10% Yes No
October Meeting 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

OpenAI IPO by...?

March 31, 2027 53% Yes No
June 30, 2027 49% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 66% Yes No
September Meeting 56% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 94% Yes No
October 31, 2026 90% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 88% Yes No
1.5T+ 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 95% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 25% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

↑ $4,500 50% Yes No
↑ $6,000 12% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$900B 100% Yes No
↑$1.0T 84% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed Decision in October?

No change 70% Yes No
25 bps increase 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$991K Vol.
Polymarket Economy