Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$77.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

↓ $70 0% Yes No
↓ $80 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$40.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$34.6M Vol.
Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 79% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 12% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$33.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA 92% Yes No
Alphabet 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

iRobot 100% Yes No
Caesars Entertainment 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$17.9M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$16.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Largest Company end of May?

$10.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps increase 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.0% 34% Yes No
3.75% 30% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras 100% Yes No
Wealthfront 100% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

↑ $5,000 100% Yes No
↓ $4,300 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

↑ $80 100% Yes No
↑ $85 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$4.6M Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

December 31 100% Yes No
September 30 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$4.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 68% Yes No
Alphabet 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Forecasts closed
2.0T-2.5T 48% Yes No
1.5T-2.0T 33% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

↑ $90 100% Yes No
↓ $90 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

20+ 0% Yes No
40+ 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 80% Yes No
xAI 26% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 24% Yes No
October Meeting 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 76% Yes No
September 30, 2026 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket