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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Netanyahu out by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Fed rate hike in 2026? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? California Governor Election Winner Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? NFL Champion 2027 When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Top outcomes

Elon Musk 96%
Warren Buffett 1%
Larry Page 1%
Sergey Brin 1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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$1.9M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.9m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.9M Vol.

Elon Musk

96% market probability

96%

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0 / 2,000

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Warren Buffett

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Page

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Sergey Brin

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeff Bezos

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Jensen Huang

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Ballmer

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernard Arnault

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Ellison

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Zuckerberg

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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