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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? US military action against Cuba by...? Next French Presidential Election Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? NBA: 2027 Champion US strike on Mexico by...?
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OpenAI IPO by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 18%
September 30, 2026 3%
August 31, 2026 1%
July 31, 2026 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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$2.7M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$2.7m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.7M Vol.

December 31, 2026

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 30, 2026

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026 Explain your No on September 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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August 31, 2026

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on August 31, 2026 Explain your No on August 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on July 31, 2026 Explain your No on July 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31, 2025

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2025 Explain your No on December 31, 2025 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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