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OpenAI IPO by...?
Top outcomes
June 30, 2027
34%
March 31, 2027
20%
December 31, 2026
4%
July 31, 2026
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
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$3.1M Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$3.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$3.1M Vol.
June 30, 2027
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
March 31, 2027
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on March 31, 2027
Explain your No on March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 31, 2026
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026
Explain your No on December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July 31, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on July 31, 2026
Explain your No on July 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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June 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026
Explain your No on June 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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August 31, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on August 31, 2026
Explain your No on August 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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December 31, 2025
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2025
Explain your No on December 31, 2025
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026
Explain your No on September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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