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Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Fed Decision in June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Trump out as President by June 30? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Colombia Presidential Election Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? 2026 NBA Champion
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OpenAI IPO by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 76%
September 30, 2026 30%
August 31, 2026 7%
July 31, 2026 3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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$1.9M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$1.9m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.9M Vol.

December 31, 2026

76% market probability

76%
Yes 76% +24 / −76 No 24% +76 / −24

September 30, 2026

30% market probability

30%
Yes 30% +70 / −30 No 70% +30 / −70

August 31, 2026

7% market probability

7%
Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

July 31, 2026

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

June 30, 2026

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

December 31, 2025

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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