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Iran full airspace closure by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Which party will win the House in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? F1 Constructors' Champion
Open Polymarket

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2029 22%
December 31, 2028 16%
December 31, 2027 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$338K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2030

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Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$338K Vol.

December 31, 2029

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2029 Explain your No on December 31, 2029 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2028

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2028 Explain your No on December 31, 2028 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2027

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027 Explain your No on December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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