Tech

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 55% Yes No

50%+ 38% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$162K Vol.

Polymarket

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No

55%+ 72% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$144K Vol.

Polymarket

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-15 77% Yes No

16-19 9% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$207K Vol.

Polymarket

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

0 77% Yes No

1 18% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$365K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+ 27% Yes No

1500+ 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$291K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 29% Yes No

45%+ 27% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$107K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 31 29% Yes No

November 30 25% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.

Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$331K Vol.

Polymarket

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$88 Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

SSI public model released by…?

December 31 36% Yes No

November 30 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$134K Vol.

Polymarket

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

No 80%

Yes 20%

$78K Vol.

Polymarket

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture 22% Yes No

Ramsey Number R(5,5) 18% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$61K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft 32% Yes No

Anthropic 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.

Polymarket

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#5 100% Yes No

#10 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$278K Vol.

Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 46% Yes No

1580 19% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$238K Vol.

Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No

1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$142K Vol.

Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1500 100% Yes No

↑ 1510 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$224K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 31 100% Yes No

October 31 99% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 32% Yes No

October 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$485K Vol.

Polymarket

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$83K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 81% Yes No

1490+ 72% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$22K Vol.

Polymarket

Anthropic lab leak by...?

June 30, 2027 6% Yes No

December 31, 2026 1% Yes No

$156K Vol.

Polymarket

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027? 66% Yes No

March 31, 2027 48% Yes No

$66K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 2027 92% Yes No

June 30, 2027 72% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$39K Vol.

Polymarket