Politics

Elections, policy, and government

415 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$932K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 82% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$333K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$302K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

December 31 44% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$217K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$450K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$286K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31 21% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

December 31 66% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$430K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 73%
Yes 27%
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$25.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$10.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$66.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$115K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket