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US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$801K Vol.
Polymarket

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$642K Vol.
Polymarket World

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$40K Vol.
Polymarket

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
November 30 66% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$43K Vol.
Polymarket

US strike on Colombia by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$820K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 14% Yes No
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 31 65% Yes No
Qatar 13% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$167K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 76% Yes No
No meeting by December 31 14% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 95% Yes No
US 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Egypt 17% Yes No
Yemen 9% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 10% Yes No
New Zealand 8% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Vietnam 15% Yes No
Mexico 14% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$402K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Pete Buttigieg 40% Yes No
Phil Murphy 30% Yes No

+68 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan 20% Yes No
Mahmoud Khalil 18% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$509K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics