Politics

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Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia 24% Yes No
Russia 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie 16% Yes No
Stefan Brodie 16% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$523K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta join the US?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$44.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 21% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$280K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$362K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics