Politics

Elections, policy, and government

416 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$795K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
September 30 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$845K Vol.
Polymarket

X banned in any European country by December 31?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 93% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 42% Yes No
Chuck Schumer 37% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Umaru Dikko Radda 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027 56% Yes No
December 31, 2026 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$10.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 97% Yes No
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% Yes No
Nathalie Arthaud 88% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$352K Vol.
Polymarket

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 33% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 28% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$124.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next President of Kosovo?

Bekim Sejdiu 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

PAN 72% Yes No
MC 9% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena 90% Yes No
PAN 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Colima Governor Election Winner

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+47 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket