Politics

Elections, policy, and government

416 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 60% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

Ruth González Silva 61% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+45 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Zacatecas Governor Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount 76% Yes No
None by June 30, 2027 22% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 26% Yes No
December 31 16% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$24.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 14% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$22.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

June 30, 2027 50% Yes No
March 31, 2027 38% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

No 67%
Yes 33%
Polymarket Science & Tech

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

June 30, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
$43K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

DeepSeek 30% Yes No
Xiaomi 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Hesai 18% Yes No
Alibaba 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$275K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$429K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027 12% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$11K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027 36% Yes No
December 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027 12% Yes No
December 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 42% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$596K Vol.
Polymarket

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 76% Yes No
PSD 13% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Other 50% Yes No
Person M 50% Yes No

+57 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Other 50% Yes No
John Healey 12% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics