Politics

Elections, policy, and government

519 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will Tim Walz resign by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$770K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$356K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$167K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$177K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$869K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 75% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

X banned in any European country by December 31?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$232K Vol.
Polymarket

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$228K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

China 100% Yes No
France 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$682K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 54% Yes No
John Thune 24% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 72% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$132K Vol.
Polymarket

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

January 31, 2027 66% Yes No
January 15, 2027 40% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$868K Vol.
Polymarket