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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Top outcomes
China
100%
France
100%
Turkey
100%
Ireland
100%
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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$681K Vol.
Closes Jan 2, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$681.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$681K Vol.
China
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
France
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on France
Explain your No on France
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Turkey
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Turkey
Explain your No on Turkey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ireland
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ireland
Explain your No on Ireland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Switzerland
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Switzerland
Explain your No on Switzerland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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United Kingdom
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on United Kingdom
Explain your No on United Kingdom
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Japan
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Japan
Explain your No on Japan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Germany
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Germany
Explain your No on Germany
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Portugal
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Portugal
Explain your No on Portugal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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South Korea
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on South Korea
Explain your No on South Korea
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Italy
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Italy
Explain your No on Italy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Syria
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Syria
Explain your No on Syria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Israel
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Israel
Explain your No on Israel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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North Korea
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on North Korea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Russia
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Russia
Explain your No on Russia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Venezuela
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Venezuela
Explain your No on Venezuela
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saudi Arabia
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Saudi Arabia
Explain your No on Saudi Arabia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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India
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on India
Explain your No on India
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mexico
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Mexico
Explain your No on Mexico
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Canada
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Canada
Explain your No on Canada
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pakistan
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Pakistan
Explain your No on Pakistan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belarus
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Belarus
Explain your No on Belarus
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ukraine
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Ukraine
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Taiwan
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Taiwan
Explain your No on Taiwan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lebanon
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Lebanon
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oman
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Oman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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