Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
August 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 98% Yes No
Sweden Democrats (SD) 2% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount 72% Yes No
None by June 30, 2027 18% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 31 26% Yes No
July 31 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 79% Yes No
Haley Stevens 21% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

French election called by...?

July 31, 2026 0% Yes No
October 10 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat 68% Yes No
Republican 32% Yes No
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$978K Vol.
Polymarket

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$974K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31 38% Yes No
September 30 11% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$956K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$952K Vol.
Polymarket World

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$935K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

September 30 68% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$930K Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31 35% Yes No
August 31 19% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$922K Vol.
Polymarket World