Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 2026
16%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pam Bondi
100%
Yes
No
Dan Bongino
100%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
98%
Yes
No
Sweden Democrats (SD)
2%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
72%
Yes
No
None by June 30, 2027
18%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 31
26%
Yes
No
July 31
6%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
79%
Yes
No
Haley Stevens
21%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
French election called by...?
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
October 10
0%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
68%
Yes
No
Republican
32%
Yes
No
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$978K Vol.
Polymarket
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
16%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$974K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
38%
Yes
No
September 30
11%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$956K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$952K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$935K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30
68%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$930K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31
35%
Yes
No
August 31
19%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$922K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 73–96