Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 19% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

No Hormuz Agreement 97% Yes No
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% Yes No
Mike Rogers (R) 30% Yes No
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other 50% Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 40% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 77% Yes No
Bernadette Wilson 22% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 39% Yes No
November 30 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner 100% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 74% Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 31 22% Yes No
December 31 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 70% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 14% Yes No
Dilution of Iran's Uranium 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel 35% Yes No
Phil Murphy 26% Yes No

+68 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 88% Yes No
Аndrey Gyurov 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D) 62% Yes No
Jon Husted (R) 38% Yes No
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket