Pro Football: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Iran leader end of 2026? California Governor Election Winner Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Russia nuclear test by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next French Presidential Election What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Texas Senate Election Winner Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Pro Football: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Iran leader end of 2026? California Governor Election Winner Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Russia nuclear test by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next French Presidential Election What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Texas Senate Election Winner Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
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Will Russia invade another country by...?

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December 31, 2027 18%
December 31, 2026 6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$607K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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$607K Vol.

December 31, 2027

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2026

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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