Politics
Elections, policy, and government
422 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$527K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$217K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
61%
Yes
No
October 31
38%
Yes
No
+18 more outcomes
$24.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31
50%
Yes
No
October 31
22%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 17
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$973K Vol.
Polymarket
World
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$102K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 31
32%
Yes
No
October 31
20%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$46K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$794K Vol.
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
September 30
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$29.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
No
89%
Yes
11%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
No
12%
Yes
88%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
September 30
3%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$661K Vol.
Polymarket
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
26%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$800K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction Funding
11%
Yes
No
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$799K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China
55%
Yes
No
No meeting by December 31
39%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$802K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 289–312 of 422