Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 23% Yes No

Jon Ossoff 9% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$1194.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 33% Yes No

Marco Rubio 23% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$656.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Marco Rubio 15% Yes No

JD Vance 15% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$625.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 78% Yes No

October 31 72% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$299.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 54% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$122.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 48% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 26% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$99.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 26% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 22% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$98.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 74% Yes No

Delcy Rodríguez 15% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$90.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$54.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 10% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$52.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31 68% Yes No

June 30 57% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$46.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

July 31 80% Yes No

June 30 70% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$42.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 89% Yes No

Steve Hilton 8% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$38.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 88% Yes No

Candidate M 50% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$36.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$34.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

July 31 78% Yes No

June 30 66% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$32.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Starmer out by...?

December 31 80% Yes No

October 31 78% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$31.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

June 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$26.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10% Yes No

Donald Trump 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$20.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$19.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

December 31 22% Yes No

June 30 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$17.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 36% Yes No

Gadi Eizenkot 28% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$15.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 40% Yes No

July 31 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$14.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

June 30 10% Yes No

June 15 3% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$14.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics