Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Iran leader end of 2026? Netanyahu out by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Iran leader end of 2026? Netanyahu out by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

165 open forecasts of 413 in Politics

← All categories

Reputation leaders Popularity leaders

Filter by topic

All 413 Global Elections 195 Geopolitics 165 US Elections 92 Policy & Courts 12

Events in Geopolitics

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →

Source All Polymarket

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket Politics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 12% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

August 31, 2026 0% Yes No

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 34% Yes No

September 30 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Polymarket Politics

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

December 31 97% Yes No

October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027 60% Yes No

December 31, 2026 41% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

Polymarket Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 26% Yes No

December 31 16% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 16% Yes No

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

June 30, 2027 50% Yes No

March 31, 2027 38% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Polymarket Politics

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

June 30, 2027 22% Yes No

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

DeepSeek 30% Yes No

Xiaomi 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Hesai 18% Yes No

Alibaba 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027 12% Yes No

December 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket Politics