Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

Events in Geopolitics

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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$280K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$362K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$992K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 84% Yes No
October 31 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$466K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$237K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$453K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$210K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$106K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$5.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$27.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$256K Vol.
Polymarket