What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Russia nuclear test by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran leader end of 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Putin out as President of Russia by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? California Governor Election Winner Netanyahu out by...?
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Russia nuclear test by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran leader end of 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Putin out as President of Russia by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? California Governor Election Winner Netanyahu out by...?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

165 open forecasts of 414 in Politics

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Iran Reconstruction Funding 12% Yes No
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$795K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

No meeting by December 31 50% Yes No
China 40% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$785K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 92% Yes No
China 1% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait 18% Yes No
Qatar 14% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 19% Yes No
New Zealand 15% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$758K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico 18% Yes No
India 17% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$388K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 32% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 31% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$354K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$975K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
October 31 17% Yes No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 22% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 31% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$406K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$194K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 66% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
September 30 95% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$398K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$444K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$955K Vol.
Polymarket World