Israel closes its airspace by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Trump out as President before 2027? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Fed rate hike in 2026?
Israel closes its airspace by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Trump out as President before 2027? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Fed rate hike in 2026?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

165 open forecasts of 414 in Politics

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Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$527K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$217K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31 64% Yes No
October 31 40% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$24.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 17 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$973K Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
October 31 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$524K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$794K Vol.
Polymarket

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 13%
Yes 87%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$661K Vol.
Polymarket