Geopolitics
Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics
118 open forecasts of 192 in Politics
Filter by topic
Trending in Geopolitics
Advanced filters →
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$718K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
35%
Yes
No
Egypt
29%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$713K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$705K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
June 30
4%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$703K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$689K Vol.
Polymarket
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$684K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
5%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$670K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
28%
Yes
72%
$609K Vol.
Polymarket
World
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$604K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$597K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No
57%
Yes
42%
$517K Vol.
Polymarket
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$508K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
June 30
8%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$446K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Lebanon
2%
Yes
No
Kuwait
2%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$433K Vol.
Polymarket
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
December 31, 2026
33%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
5%
Yes
No
$401K Vol.
Polymarket
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$366K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Mexico
29%
Yes
No
United Kingdom
25%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$337K Vol.
Polymarket
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
99%
Yes
No
June 30
5%
Yes
No
$329K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
89%
Yes
11%
$329K Vol.
Polymarket
China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$296K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
No
49%
Yes
51%
$291K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump speak to in June?
Friedrich Merz
98%
Yes
No
Emmanuel Macron
98%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$275K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$246K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 73–96 of 118