New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Next French Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Next French Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$200K Vol.
Polymarket

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$107K Vol.
Polymarket

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$873K Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$399K Vol.
Polymarket

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$945K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$298K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

None before 2027 56% Yes No
Netanyahu - Israel PM 28% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
November 30 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$421K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$571K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
November 30 19% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$326K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
October 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 82% Yes No
November 30 76% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$407K Vol.
Polymarket