Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

119 open forecasts of 193 in Politics

Trending in Geopolitics

Advanced filters →

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

June 30 6% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief 50% Yes No
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 50% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

June 30 2% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

J.D. Vance 43% Yes No
Jared Kushner 43% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

July 31 68% Yes No
June 30 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

No 1%
Yes 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 17% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?

June 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 30 9% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$954K Vol.
Polymarket World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$953K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$913K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$889K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$863K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
$839K Vol.
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Petro - Colombia President 59% Yes No
Starmer - UK PM 22% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$813K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$812K Vol.
Polymarket

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$779K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

New Zealand 22% Yes No
Belgium 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$718K Vol.
Polymarket World