Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? California Governor Election Winner What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Anthropic IPO by __? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? F1 Drivers' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Iran full airspace closure by...?
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? California Governor Election Winner What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Anthropic IPO by __? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? F1 Drivers' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Iran full airspace closure by...?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$34K Vol.
Polymarket

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 87% Yes No
No Head of State 4% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
November 30, 2026 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$760K Vol.
Polymarket

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$258K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$16.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner 100% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
November 30 12% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$221K Vol.
Polymarket

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$268K Vol.
Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$825K Vol.
Polymarket World

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
November 30 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$669K Vol.
Polymarket

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 63% Yes No
5 11% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$409K Vol.
Polymarket

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$997K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 31 25% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$430K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 13% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics