Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next French Presidential Election Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next French Presidential Election Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

165 open forecasts of 414 in Politics

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Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 82% Yes No

No Head of State 5% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Polymarket World

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 51% Yes No

Benjamin Netanyahu 29% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

Polymarket World

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Polymarket World

Will Alberta join the US?

Polymarket World

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket World

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Polymarket World

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 21% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 72% Yes No

December 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

October 31 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

Polymarket World

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 12% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket World

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 28% Yes No

September 30 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

Polymarket World

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 5% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

Polymarket World

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

+14 more outcomes

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IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 13% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No

October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

Polymarket World