Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting 51% Yes No
June 2027 Meeting 36% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1 78% Yes No
2 20% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 96% Yes No
US 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

LCK 2026 Season Winner

Gen.G Esports 100% Yes No
T1 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Esports

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 78% Yes No
No change 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 98% Yes No
$200M 98% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$300M 6% Yes No
$100M 6% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 38% Yes No
48 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
November 30 22% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 2027 34% Yes No
March 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 2027 18% Yes No
December 31, 2026 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2027 40% Yes No
June 30, 2027 35% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
July 18 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto