Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Alibaba 81% Yes No
Moonshot 15% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$620K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$619K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 70% Yes No
Ian Machado Garry 27% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$617K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R) 56% Yes No
James Talarico (D) 43% Yes No
$616K Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

Chad Tracy 44% Yes No
David Ross 9% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$608K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Islam/None in 2026 71% Yes No
Alexander Volkanovski 21% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$596K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$591K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$588K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

OKX IPO in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$584K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$577K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

WNBA: 2026 Champion

Minnesota Lynx 42% Yes No
Las Vegas Aces 16% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 72% Yes No
Druzkhivka 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$575K Vol.
Polymarket

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$574K Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

Team D 50% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$569K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 7%
Yes 93%
$566K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other 60% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Pause 34% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$557K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 22% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$547K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

No 88%
Yes 12%
$543K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$521K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 74% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Pause 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$521K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$514K Vol.
Polymarket

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

December 31, 2027 40% Yes No
June 30, 2027 25% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$512K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Abstract launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 48% Yes No
September 30, 2027 48% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$505K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto