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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Los Angeles Mayoral Election NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$200M 36%
$400M 30%
$600M 21%
$800M 14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$460K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$460.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$460K Vol.

$200M

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$400M

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on $400M Explain your No on $400M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$600M

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on $600M Explain your No on $600M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$800M

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1.5B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $1.5B Explain your No on $1.5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2.5B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $2.5B Explain your No on $2.5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$3B

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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