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Polymarket
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$200M
62%
$400M
38%
$600M
22%
$800M
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$432K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$432.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$432K Vol.
$200M
62% market probability
62%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 38%
+62 / −38
$400M
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$600M
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on $600M
Explain your No on $600M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1.5B
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on $1.5B
Explain your No on $1.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$2B
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$2.5B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $2.5B
Explain your No on $2.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$3B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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