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Polymarket
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
Top outcomes
December 31, 2027
60%
March 31, 2027
50%
September 30, 2027
48%
June 30, 2027
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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$533K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$533.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$533K Vol.
December 31, 2027
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
March 31, 2027
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on March 31, 2027
Explain your No on March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 30, 2027
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on September 30, 2027
Explain your No on September 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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June 30, 2027
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2027
Explain your No on June 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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December 31, 2026
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026
Explain your No on December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 30, 2026
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026
Explain your No on September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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December 31, 2025
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2025
Explain your No on December 31, 2025
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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