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Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
Top outcomes
Islam Makhachev
70%
Ian Machado Garry
16%
Carlos Prates
3%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
1%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
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$608K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$608.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$608K Vol.
Islam Makhachev
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
Ian Machado Garry
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Ian Machado Garry
Explain your No on Ian Machado Garry
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Prates
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Carlos Prates
Explain your No on Carlos Prates
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shavkat Rakhmonov
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Shavkat Rakhmonov
Explain your No on Shavkat Rakhmonov
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sean Brady
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sean Brady
Explain your No on Sean Brady
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kamaru Usman
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kamaru Usman
Explain your No on Kamaru Usman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Morales
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Michael Morales
Explain your No on Michael Morales
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leon Edwards
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Leon Edwards
Explain your No on Leon Edwards
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belal Muhammad
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Belal Muhammad
Explain your No on Belal Muhammad
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joaquin Buckley
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Joaquin Buckley
Explain your No on Joaquin Buckley
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jack Della Maddalena
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jack Della Maddalena
Explain your No on Jack Della Maddalena
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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