Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$873K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
4%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$872K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$867K Vol.
Polymarket
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
39%
Yes
No
$1B
38%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$867K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August
88%
Yes
No
December
7%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$864K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$862K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
January 31, 2027
60%
Yes
No
January 15, 2027
48%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$862K Vol.
Polymarket
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
No
20%
Yes
80%
$859K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$853K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$850K Vol.
Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
17%
Yes
83%
$844K Vol.
Polymarket
Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
3%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$843K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$825K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$820K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
86%
Yes
No
Annie Andrews (D)
16%
Yes
No
$801K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$801K Vol.
Polymarket
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$784K Vol.
Polymarket
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
24%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$779K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$769K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
12%
Yes
No
Italy
9%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$763K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Justin Gaethje
87%
Yes
No
Arman Tsarukyan
7%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$755K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026
34%
Yes
No
November 30, 2026
24%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$753K Vol.
Polymarket
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