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Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Top outcomes

Maia Sandu 100%
Andy Burnham 100%
Keith Kellogg 100%
António Costa 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$356K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$356.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$356K Vol.

Maia Sandu

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Andy Burnham

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Keith Kellogg

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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António Costa

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Witkoff

79% market probability

79%

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0 / 2,000

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Jared Kushner

74% market probability

74%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Tusk

66% market probability

66%

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0 / 2,000

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Ursula von der Leyen

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Carney

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Rutte

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Emmanuel Macron

21% market probability

21%

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0 / 2,000

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Friedrich Merz

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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António Guterres

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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JD Vance

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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