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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Largest Company end of June? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 MLB: 2026 American League Champion SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel closes its airspace by...? Iran leader end of 2026? 2026 NBA Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SpaceX IPO by ___ ? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Open Sports Polymarket

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Top outcomes

Ilia Topuria 65%
Arman Tsarukyan 13%
Justin Gaethje 9%
Charles Oliveira 6%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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$603K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$603.2k Vol.

All outcomes

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$603K Vol.

Ilia Topuria

65% market probability

65%

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0 / 2,000

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Arman Tsarukyan

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Justin Gaethje

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Charles Oliveira

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Benoît Saint Denis

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Max Holloway

0% market probability

0%

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Paddy Pimblett

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Renato Moicano

0% market probability

0%

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Dan Hooker

0% market probability

0%

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Rafael Fiziev

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Mateusz Gamrot

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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